Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.854148e-01 0.511945 0.657811 0.835911 1.045022 1.280382 1.562898
2025-10-26 1.980270e-01 0.339524 0.529655 0.792146 1.133631 1.551958 2.091971
2025-11-02 1.062683e-01 0.242557 0.457043 0.788471 1.258239 1.872830 2.709519
2025-11-09 4.997566e-02 0.164186 0.379765 0.753461 1.327453 2.123125 3.255730
2025-11-16 2.720888e-02 0.129322 0.356470 0.788428 1.492979 2.510587 4.003964
2025-11-23 1.219084e-02 0.095278 0.319382 0.789140 1.602036 2.822536 4.664417
2025-11-30 6.472427e-03 0.081170 0.316792 0.847367 1.804044 3.278273 5.544176
2025-12-07 2.765601e-03 0.066045 0.304476 0.882907 1.969310 3.685996 6.370715
2025-12-14 7.829102e-04 0.050780 0.283314 0.894788 2.092565 4.033426 7.120974
2025-12-21 6.998837e-05 0.035839 0.252809 0.878639 2.161962 4.297476 7.755416
2025-12-28 1.512962e-07 0.027394 0.237889 0.893155 2.285999 4.651339 8.532779
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019936 0.219961 0.895603 2.385591 4.967856 9.261297
2026-01-11 NaN 0.012168 0.190785 0.863427 2.417495 5.179126 9.844557
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007183 0.167373 0.839684 2.462672 5.413737 10.471334
2026-01-25 NaN 0.004683 0.155758 0.846678 2.570842 5.759448 11.281626
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002230 0.134061 0.815262 2.593389 5.956423 11.860892
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001644 0.133878 0.855021 2.773766 6.436900 12.904670
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000846 0.123796 0.857223 2.869956 6.770283 13.718580
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000728 0.129697 0.919634 3.106856 7.363365 14.965372
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000483 0.129210 0.957646 3.289542 7.863097 16.069105
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000223 0.122696 0.970425 3.413970 8.260042 17.012032
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000047 0.109924 0.953441 3.466064 8.525099 17.742695
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000010 0.105107 0.968858 3.596707 8.938704 18.726000